Mackens Semerzier vs Marco Novák
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team CurranTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mackens SemerzierMarco Novák
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Novák52%
Mackens Semerzier 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Novák a 52% favorite over Mackens Semerzier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mackens Semerzier's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.
Mackens Semerzier enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mackens Semerzier finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marco Novák 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.