Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Michael Trizano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
68.00"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Michael TrizanoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
42%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
51%
Strike defense
51%
3.45
Takedown avg.
0.36
47%
Takedown accuracy
67%
22%
Takedown defense
73%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Mads BurnellMichael Trizano
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
9 (47%)
Submission
2 (20%)
9 (47%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mads Burnell and Michael Trizano within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Michael Trizano 50%.

Michael Trizano carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.