Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Mike Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record26-9-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68.00"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Mike BrownNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.45
51%
Strike defense
61%
3.45
Takedown avg.
3.23
47%
Takedown accuracy
40%
22%
Takedown defense
67%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Mads BurnellMike Brown
16501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
9 (47%)
Submission
13 (50%)
9 (47%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell52%
Mike Brown 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 52% favorite over Mike Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mike Brown 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.