Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Robert Ruchała

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68.00"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamGrappling Krakow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Robert RuchałaNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
42%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
51%
Strike defense
57%
3.45
Takedown avg.
2
47%
Takedown accuracy
33%
22%
Takedown defense
0%
0.38
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mads BurnellRobert Ruchała
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
9 (47%)
Submission
3 (27%)
9 (47%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Ruchała60%
Mads Burnell 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Ruchała a 60% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mads Burnell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1665), separated by just 2 points.

Robert Ruchała enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Robert Ruchała 55%.

Robert Ruchała carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.