Combat Edge Intelligence

Mads Burnell vs Ryan Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Hall
us

Ryan Hall

“The Wizard”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68.00"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeam50-50 BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655
Ryan HallNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
51%
Strike defense
66%
3.45
Takedown avg.
0.22
47%
Takedown accuracy
9%
22%
Takedown defense
0%
0.38
Submission avg.
2.22

Trajectory

Mads BurnellRyan Hall
165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (5%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
9 (47%)
Submission
3 (33%)
9 (47%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell53%
Ryan Hall 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 53% favorite over Ryan Hall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1665), separated by just 2 points.

Mads Burnell finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.

Ryan Hall carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.