Combat Edge Intelligence

Magno Almeida vs Oscar Ownsworth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record10-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight150 lbs
Fenix Fight ClubTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magno AlmeidaNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Magno AlmeidaOscar Ownsworth
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
9 (100%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth76%
Magno Almeida 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 76% favorite over Magno Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magno Almeida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Magno Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.