Magomed Bibulatov vs Steve Erceg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-3-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
36,5"Reach 68"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamWilkes Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed BibulatovSteve Erceg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg66%
Magomed Bibulatov 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 66% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Bibulatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1705), separated by just 0 points.
Magomed Bibulatov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Steve Erceg enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Magomed Bibulatov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.