Magomed Umalatov vs Tyron Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-1-0Record19-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Eagles MMATeamAmerican Top Team Evolution
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Magomed UmalatovTyron Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Umalatov78%
Tyron Woodley 22%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Umalatov a 78% favorite over Tyron Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1779 vs 1774), separated by just 5 points.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Magomed Umalatov finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.