Combat Edge Intelligence

Magomed Zaynukov vs Ottman Azaitar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record13-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
68" Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamJupps Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Magomed ZaynukovNow 1666
If they win+24→ 1690
If they lose-24→ 1642
Ottman AzaitarNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

15.67
Sig. strikes / min
5.73
61%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
58%
Strike defense
48%
2
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Magomed ZaynukovOttman Azaitar
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (15%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Zaynukov66%
Ottman Azaitar 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Zaynukov a 66% favorite over Ottman Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1664), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ottman Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Magomed Zaynukov finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ottman Azaitar 92%.

Ottman Azaitar carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.