Combat Edge Intelligence

Maheshate Hayisaer vs Mike Aina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Aina
us

Mike Aina

“Iron”

14-6-1LightweightJS

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record14-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Enbo Fight ClubTeamBJ Penn's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Mike AinaNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Maheshate HayisaerMike Aina
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (14%)
5 (50%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer60%
Mike Aina 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 60% favorite over Mike Aina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Aina's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Aina enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Maheshate Hayisaer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Aina 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.