Combat Edge Intelligence

Maheshate Hayisaer vs Mizuto Hirota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record18-11-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"Reach67,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Enbo Fight ClubTeamCave

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Mizuto HirotaNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
29%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
54%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
45%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Maheshate HayisaerMizuto Hirota
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer70%
Mizuto Hirota 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 70% favorite over Mizuto Hirota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maheshate Hayisaer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mizuto Hirota 56%.

Maheshate Hayisaer carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.