Combat Edge Intelligence

Malcolm Gordon vs Pedro Nobre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record22-7-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
71"ReachTBD
128 lbsWeight125 lbs
Adrenaline Training CenterTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Malcolm GordonNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.37
45%
Strike accuracy
30%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.16
44%
Strike defense
35%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
27%
Takedown defense
0%
1.03
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Malcolm GordonPedro Nobre
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
6 (43%)
Submission
6 (27%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Malcolm Gordon59%
Pedro Nobre 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Malcolm Gordon a 59% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Malcolm Gordon finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Nobre 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.