Mandel Nallo vs Matt Frevola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamGracie Tampa South
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mandel NalloMatt Frevola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mandel Nallo62%
Matt Frevola 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 62% favorite over Matt Frevola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Frevola's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.
Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.
Mandel Nallo carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.