Mandel Nallo vs Shane Roller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Takedown
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mandel NalloShane Roller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mandel Nallo63%
Shane Roller 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 63% favorite over Shane Roller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Roller's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Shane Roller enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mandel Nallo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shane Roller 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.