Combat Edge Intelligence

Manny Gamburyan vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height6'0"
67.00Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team HayastanTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Shane CampbellNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
42%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
56%
Strike defense
55%
3.26
Takedown avg.
1.36
34%
Takedown accuracy
29%
69%
Takedown defense
82%
0.73
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manny GamburyanShane Campbell
1650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
7 (47%)
Submission
6 (25%)
6 (40%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell62%
Manny Gamburyan 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 62% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manny Gamburyan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Manny Gamburyan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Shane Campbell carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.