Manoel Sousa vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SousaPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa70%
Paul Felder 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 70% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manoel Sousa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.