Combat Edge Intelligence

Manoel Sousa vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manoel SousaNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
58%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
55%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.83
0%
Takedown accuracy
67%
63%
Takedown defense
90%
2.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manoel SousaRafael Fiziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
3 (21%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (14%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Manoel Sousa and Rafael Fiziev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1730), separated by just 2 points.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.