Manuel Del Valle vs Nick Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record38-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sevilla Fight CenterTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manuel Del ValleNick Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Del Valle84%
Nick Thompson 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 84% favorite over Nick Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Thompson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.
Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nick Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Manuel Del Valle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nick Thompson 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.