Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Del Valle vs Ty Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Miller
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Ty Miller

“Thriller”

7-0-0WelterweightUFC

1654 Good

Tale of the tape

8-1-0 Record 7-0-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
6'0" Height 6'2"
75" Reach 77"
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Sevilla Fight Center Team Fit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manuel Del ValleNow 1656
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632
Ty MillerNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
3.80
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manuel Del Valle Ty Miller
1550 1600 1650 2024 2025 2026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Manuel Del Valle53%
Ty Miller47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 53% favorite over Ty Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1654), separated by just 2 points.

Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ty Miller enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Manuel Del Valle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 43%.

Ty Miller carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.