Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Torres vs Mochamed Machaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"Reach-
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Entram GymTeamGym 23

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Mochamed MachaevNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
60%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.72
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
91%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.86
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Manuel TorresMochamed Machaev
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (41%)
Submission
2 (11%)
1 (6%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mochamed Machaev70%
Manuel Torres 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 70% favorite over Manuel Torres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manuel Torres's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.

Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Manuel Torres finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.