Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Diakiese vs Shane Nelson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamBJ Penn's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629
Shane NelsonNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
1.38
40%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
53%
Strike defense
61%
3.29
Takedown avg.
1.31
10%
Takedown accuracy
18%
67%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
1.64

Trajectory

Marc DiakieseShane Nelson
16001650170020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (19%)
11 (61%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Diakiese63%
Shane Nelson 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 63% favorite over Shane Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1641), separated by just 0 points.

Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Shane Nelson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.