Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Doussis vs Mark Kerr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Kerr
us

Mark Kerr

“The Smashing Machine”

15-11-0HeavyweightM-1

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record15-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75.6"Reach--
256 lbsWeight255 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Kerr

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc DoussisNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Mark KerrNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.89
TBD
Strike defense
29%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
78%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Marc DoussisMark Kerr
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
5 (50%)
Submission
7 (54%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Doussis79%
Mark Kerr 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Doussis a 79% favorite over Mark Kerr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1561), separated by just 5 points.

Mark Kerr enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Marc Doussis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mark Kerr 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.