Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Doussis vs Nandor Guelmino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75.6"ReachTBD
256 lbsWeight230 lbs
UFD GymTeamGym 23

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc DoussisNow 1566
If they win+15→ 1581
If they lose-17→ 1549
Nandor GuelminoNow 1555
If they win+17→ 1572
If they lose-15→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
TBD
Strike defense
34%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
43%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marc DoussisNandor Guelmino
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (50%)
Submission
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Doussis77%
Nandor Guelmino 23%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Doussis a 77% favorite over Nandor Guelmino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1555), separated by just 11 points.

Nandor Guelmino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marc Doussis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nandor Guelmino 82%.

Marc Doussis and Nandor Guelmino share 1 common opponent: Sascha Weinpolter.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (Arm Triangle Choke) · 2026
Sascha Weinpolter
WinDecision · 2011