Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Held vs Umakhan Ibragimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-10-0Record11-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39,5"Reach-
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ankos MMATeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin HeldNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
Umakhan IbragimovNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
35%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
2.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcin HeldUmakhan Ibragimov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (14%)
KO/TKO
11 (100%)
15 (52%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (34%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Umakhan Ibragimov57%
Marcin Held 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Umakhan Ibragimov a 57% favorite over Marcin Held in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Held's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.

Marcin Held finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Umakhan Ibragimov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.