Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Wrzosek vs Tariq Pell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcin Wrzosek
pl

Marcin Wrzosek

“The Polish Zombie”

14-7-0FeatherweightKSW

1608Solid
Tariq Pell

Tariq Pell

“The Tsunami”

8-2-0LightweightCWFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
FitFabric Shark Top TeamTeamBlood Sweat and Tears

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin WrzosekNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Tariq PellNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.47
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
3
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcin WrzosekTariq Pell
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (29%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Pell70%
Marcin Wrzosek 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Pell a 70% favorite over Marcin Wrzosek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Wrzosek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Marcin Wrzosek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Wrzosek finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Pell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.