Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Mike Seal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record13-15-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
If they win+12→ 1477
If they lose-12→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior61%
Mike Seal 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 61% favorite over Mike Seal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1467 vs 1465), separated by just 2 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Seal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mike Seal 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.