Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Radovan Úškrt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamOctagon Fighting Academy
What's at stake
Radovan Úškrt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marcio Alexandre Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1494
If they lose-21→ 1446
If they win+14→ 1532
If they lose-18→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorRadovan Úškrt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Radovan Úškrt71%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Radovan Úškrt a 71% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Radovan Úškrt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1518 to 1467, a 51-point edge.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Radovan Úškrt 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.