Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Novák vs Ramiro Hernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hanuman Gym BratislavaTeamTSG Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco NovákNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Ramiro HernandezNow 1571
If they win+12→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.51
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marco NovákRamiro Hernandez
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (30%)
3 (43%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Novák60%
Ramiro Hernandez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Novák a 60% favorite over Ramiro Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Marco Novák finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Ramiro Hernandez 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.