Marco Polo Reyes vs Thomas Paull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Entram GymTeamTeam Underground MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marco Polo ReyesThomas Paull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Paull68%
Marco Polo Reyes 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Paull a 68% favorite over Marco Polo Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1570), separated by just 3 points.
Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marco Polo Reyes finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.