Marcos Brigagao vs Mark Kerr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record15-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach--
210 lbsWeight255 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamTeam Kerr
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-17→ 1555
If they win+17→ 1578
If they lose-15→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos BrigagaoMark Kerr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Brigagao52%
Mark Kerr 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 52% favorite over Mark Kerr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1561), separated by just 11 points.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Kerr enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Kerr 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.