Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Brigagao vs Mike Wessel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Wessel
us

Mike Wessel

“The Juggernaut”

15-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1565Solid

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight263 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamWestside Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos BrigagaoNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Mike WesselNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.82
43%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.43
26%
Strike defense
22%
0
Takedown avg.
6.29
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
36%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcos BrigagaoMike Wessel
1550160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
3 (18%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (12%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcos Brigagao and Mike Wessel within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1565), separated by just 7 points.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mike Wessel 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.