Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Brigagao vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReach78″
210 lbsWeight247 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos BrigagaoNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
43%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
26%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
36%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcos BrigagaoRaphael Pessoa
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
3 (18%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Brigagao62%
Raphael Pessoa 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 62% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1566), separated by just 6 points.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.