Marcos Brigagao vs Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record8-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight237 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcos BrigagaoVinicius Kappke de Queiroz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz59%
Marcos Brigagao 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz a 59% favorite over Marcos Brigagao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Brigagao's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1565), separated by just 7 points.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Kappke de Queiroz 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.