Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcos Brigagao vs Wesley Correira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record21-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
210 lbsWeight253 lbs
D.O METHODOLOGYTeamCabbage MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcos BrigagaoNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Wesley CorreiraNow 1574
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
43%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.33
26%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
36%
Takedown defense
91%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcos BrigagaoWesley Correira
16002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (71%)
KO/TKO
17 (85%)
3 (18%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (12%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Brigagao57%
Wesley Correira 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 57% favorite over Wesley Correira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wesley Correira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcos Brigagao finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Wesley Correira 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.