Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus McGhee vs Miles Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record15-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamMarathon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus McGheeNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Miles JohnsNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.38
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
58%
Strike defense
67%
0.31
Takedown avg.
1.29
14%
Takedown accuracy
27%
90%
Takedown defense
83%
0.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcus McGheeMiles Johns
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (18%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus McGhee60%
Miles Johns 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 60% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miles Johns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1702), separated by just 1 points.

Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcus McGhee finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 40%.

Marcus McGhee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.