Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcus McGhee vs Pedro Munhoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Munhoz
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Pedro Munhoz

“The Young Punisher”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcus McGheeNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
Pedro MunhozNow 1696
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.50
Sig. strikes / min
5.38
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.29
58%
Strike defense
56%
0.31
Takedown avg.
0.48
14%
Takedown accuracy
16%
90%
Takedown defense
82%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Marcus McGheePedro Munhoz
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (40%)
2 (18%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus McGhee73%
Pedro Munhoz 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 73% favorite over Pedro Munhoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1696), separated by just 5 points.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcus McGhee finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.

Marcus McGhee carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.