Marcus McGhee vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus McGheeThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus McGhee66%
Thomas Almeida 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 66% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1701), separated by just 0 points.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcus McGhee finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Marcus McGhee and Thomas Almeida share 1 common opponent: Jonathan Martinez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.