Marek Samociuk vs Mark Kerr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record15-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach--
264 lbsWeight255 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamTeam Kerr
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marek SamociukMark Kerr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marek Samociuk66%
Mark Kerr 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 66% favorite over Mark Kerr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Kerr's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1561), separated by just 10 points.
Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Kerr enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Marek Samociuk finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Mark Kerr 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.