Marilia Morais vs Peggy Morgan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
N/AReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Rasthai TempleTeamTriumph MMA
What's at stake
Marilia Morais is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Peggy Morgan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1544
If they lose-26→ 1496
If they win+26→ 1519
If they lose-22→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marilia MoraisPeggy Morgan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marilia Morais53%
Peggy Morgan 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Marilia Morais a 53% favorite over Peggy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Marilia Morais holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1493, a 29-point edge.
Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marilia Morais finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Peggy Morgan 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.