Marilia Morais vs Vanessa Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record11-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
N/AReach65,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rasthai TempleTeamBabuino Gold Team
What's at stake
Marilia Morais is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1543
If they lose-27→ 1495
If they win+18→ 1498
If they lose-14→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marilia MoraisVanessa Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marilia Morais66%
Vanessa Melo 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marilia Morais a 66% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marilia Morais holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1480, a 42-point edge.
Marilia Morais enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marilia Morais finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.