Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Antonelli vs Mark Vorgeas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record6-3-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ronin Training CenterTeamSubfighter MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark AntonelliNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Mark VorgeasNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark AntonelliMark Vorgeas
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
2 (40%)
Submission
4 (67%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Antonelli54%
Mark Vorgeas 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Antonelli a 54% favorite over Mark Vorgeas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1535), separated by just 7 points.

Mark Antonelli finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vorgeas 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.