Mark Antonelli vs Suman Mokhtarian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ronin Training CenterTeamAustralian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark AntonelliSuman Mokhtarian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Antonelli60%
Suman Mokhtarian 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Antonelli a 60% favorite over Suman Mokhtarian in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Suman Mokhtarian's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1547), separated by just 5 points.
Suman Mokhtarian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Antonelli finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Suman Mokhtarian 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.