Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Bocek vs Mateusz Legierski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamOctagon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark BocekNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Mateusz LegierskiNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
3.65
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
31%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.32
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark BocekMateusz Legierski
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
7 (58%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (33%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateusz Legierski70%
Mark Bocek 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 70% favorite over Mark Bocek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Bocek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.

Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mark Bocek finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Legierski 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.