Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Climaco vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
TBDReach66"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark ClimacoNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
60%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
58%
Strike defense
52%
3.50
Takedown avg.
1.30
37%
Takedown accuracy
19%
47%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Mark ClimacoZhalgas Zhumagulov
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (70%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Climaco63%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Climaco a 63% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1639), separated by just 2 points.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mark Climaco finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.