Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark De La Rosa vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Factory XTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Vince MoralesNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
35%
Strike accuracy
38%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.59
14%
Takedown accuracy
40%
40%
Takedown defense
59%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Mark De La RosaVince Morales
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
6 (55%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Vince Morales59%
Mark De La Rosa 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vince Morales a 59% favorite over Mark De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark De La Rosa finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.