Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hulme vs Matthieu Duclos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CITTeamVenum Training Camp Paris

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark HulmeNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Matthieu DuclosNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.81
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mark HulmeMatthieu Duclos
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
8 (62%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mark Hulme and Matthieu Duclos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Mark Hulme enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mark Hulme finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.

Matthieu Duclos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.