Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Vorgeas vs Stevie Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-1Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamACE MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark VorgeasNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Stevie LeeNow 1529
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark VorgeasStevie Lee
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Stevie Lee63%
Mark Vorgeas 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Lee a 63% favorite over Mark Vorgeas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Vorgeas's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1529), separated by just 6 points.

Mark Vorgeas finishes 83% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.