Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Buday vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record25-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
77"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight264 lbs
Spartakus Fight GymTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
53%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
56%
Strike defense
38%
0.15
Takedown avg.
3.29
20%
Takedown accuracy
43%
93%
Takedown defense
100%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Martin BudayPhil De Fries
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
2 (13%)
Submission
14 (56%)
7 (44%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday60%
Phil De Fries 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 60% favorite over Phil De Fries in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil De Fries's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1707), separated by just 7 points.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Martin Buday finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.