Combat Edge Intelligence

Masanori Kanehara vs Tariq Ismail

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tariq Ismail
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Tariq Ismail

“Desert Storm”

8-1-0BantamweightPFL

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

29-13-5Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
40.00Reach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reversal Gym Tachikawa AlphaTeamBazooka Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Masanori KaneharaNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Tariq IsmailNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
1.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.86
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Masanori KaneharaTariq Ismail
160016502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
10 (34%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (28%)
Decision
7 (88%)

Combat Edge model read

Tariq Ismail53%
Masanori Kanehara 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tariq Ismail a 53% favorite over Masanori Kanehara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Masanori Kanehara's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Masanori Kanehara enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Masanori Kanehara finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.