Mateusz Legierski vs Quinn Mulhern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record18-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'3"
71"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Octagon TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz LegierskiQuinn Mulhern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Legierski72%
Quinn Mulhern 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 72% favorite over Quinn Mulhern in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.
Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Quinn Mulhern enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Legierski finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Quinn Mulhern 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.